Ali Haider Ismail

I am a Ph.D. Candidate in Economics at UCLA. My research interests are in macroeconomics, monetary economics, banking and financial intermediation, financial markets, and economic history.
I am on the 2026–27 job market.
Contact me at: [email protected]
Working Papers
Welfare Implications of Reserve Regimes
Draft: (new draft coming soon)
(new abstract coming soon)
Friedman-Schwartz vs. Tobin: A Modern Reassessment of the Great Depression
Draft: September 24, 2026
We revisit the Friedman-Schwartz vs. Tobin debate about the Federal Reserve’s role in the Great Depression by using modern econometric and quantitative-modeling tools. We calibrate a general equilibrium model with a banking sector and an interbank market, building off Bianchi and Bigio (2022). Our model offers novel contributions to the literature through its banking-focused approach that interconnects money, credit, and output. This framework allows us to leverage aggregate banking data from the era, including interbank rates, to examine the Federal Reserve’s policy pass-through into the aggregate economy. The model allows us to weigh the relative importance of various shocks affecting banks and the economy during the period. It is well-suited for conducting counterfactual analyses of policies proposed in Friedman and Schwartz’s “A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960,” particularly an expansion of discount window lending, while accounting for the constraints imposed by the gold standard.
Work in Progress
Do Banks Replace Drained Reserves? Liquidity Shocks, the LCR, and Bank HQLA
Draft: (coming soon)
Teaching
Econ 162 - Monetary Policy
Econ 102 - Intermediate Macroeconomics
Econ 11 - Microeconomic Theory
Econ 106ML - Financial Markets and Financial Institutions (Lab)